Foreign Investors Boost Stake in Indian Midcaps After Five Years of Decline, Reports Goldman Sachs

Ira Singh
20 Aug’23

In a significant shift, foreign investors have reportedly increased their stake in Indian midcap companies, marking a reversal of a five-year-long trend of decline, according to a recent report by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. This development comes as a positive sign for India’s economy and investment landscape, potentially indicating renewed confidence among international investors.

We are seeing a sharp reversal” in foreigners’ ownership of India midcaps, strategists including Amorita Goel and Sunil Koul wrote in a note on Wednesday, citing their analysis of second quarter shareholding data.

Overseas investor holding in midcaps has increased by 175 basis points to 16% of their market capitalization this year, compared with a drop of a 250 basis points over the last 5 years they added.

Indian equity market has received about $15.5 billion in net foreign inflow this year, just about $1.5 billion shy of erasing last year’s record outflow, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Consumer Durables, Auto & Auto Components, Real Estate, Healthcare and Insurance make up the top five sectors where FII ownership has increased in the June quarter compared to March. Sectors where foreign ownership has declined in the June quarter include NBFCs, IT, Metals & Mining, and Energy. A caveat here is that most of the NBFC decline is led by HDFC Ltd., before its merger with HDFC Bank.

According to Goldman strategists international investors favored India’s domestically oriented equities more than local investors,with their ownership expanding the greatest in consumer and cyclical sectors.

It remains to be seen how this shift in foreign investment patterns will impact the Indian stock market in the medium to long term. Nonetheless, the recent report from Goldman Sachs is an encouraging sign for India’s midcap companies, demonstrating their potential to regain the attention and trust of international investors after a period of decline.

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